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	<title>Profits with Real Estate Loans &#38; Online Auctions</title>
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	<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz</link>
	<description>Best credit &#38; mortgage opportunities online</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 19:46:10 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Factors that play no role in credit discussion</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/factors-that-play-no-role-in-credit-discussion/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/factors-that-play-no-role-in-credit-discussion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 19:46:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market cycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[merger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tenancy-in-Common]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tenant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade value]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=205</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Previous article discussed a model where dealers quote bid and ask prices that deviate from the fundamental value of the asset in order to offset the adverse selection costs that arise in the case of asymmetric information. We therefore assumed risk neutrality, so that dealers would be concerned only with adverse selection costs. In real [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Previous article discussed a model where dealers quote bid and ask prices that deviate from the fundamental value of the asset in order to offset the adverse selection costs that arise in the case of asymmetric information. We therefore assumed risk neutrality, so that dealers would be concerned only with adverse selection costs. In real markets, however, dealers also act as mandatory liquidity suppliers and are obliged to quote prices continuously. This means they will frequently hold undesired portfolio positions that do not lie on their efficient frontier. The costs that dealers must sustain for holding undesired positions – called ‘inventory costs’ – are another determinant of the bid–ask spread. In fact, through opposite changes in the bid–ask quotations, dealers can encourage transactions by their customers that will rebalance their portfolio. Clearly, in this context, it is crucial to assume that dealers are risk-averse, since only the riskaverse are concerned about the possible losses due to future adverse price changes.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Inventory models assign an important role to market-makers who offer the opportunity to trade at all times and therefore act as immediacy providers. The initial modelling approach (Garman, 1976) to the market-makers’ control problem assumes that their objective is to avoid bankruptcy (the ‘ruin problem’), which could be caused by the uncertainty induced by the arrival of non-synchronous buy and sell orders. As O’Hara (1995) suggests, this approach is not realistic since it assumes that a dealer quotes his prices only at the beginning of the trading game, so his inventory plays no role in the decision.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Strategic behavious behing a payday loan</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/strategic-behavious-behing-a-payday-loan/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/strategic-behavious-behing-a-payday-loan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Feb 2010 19:06:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash reserves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money problems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock exchange]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=203</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There are three principal determinants of the bid–ask spread: fixed costs, adverse selection costs and inventory costs. Fixed costs are order processing costs, such as administrative costs and compensation for the market-maker’s time. Adverse selection costs stem from asymmetric information. Finally, dealers must sustain the inventory costs of holding undesired portfolios of risky assets. By [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">There are three principal determinants of the bid–ask spread: fixed costs, adverse selection costs and inventory costs. Fixed costs are order processing costs, such as administrative costs and compensation for the market-maker’s time. Adverse selection costs stem from asymmetric information. Finally, dealers must sustain the inventory costs of holding undesired portfolios of risky assets. By nature, only risk-averse dealers will be concerned with inventory costs, so the models that include them assume that liquidity providers are risk-averse. This assumption, which complicates the algebra, can be dispensed with in models with adverse selection.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The next two articles are dedicated to models that focus on the adverse selection component of the bid–ask spread. It will also discuss inventory and fixed costs. The model presented in this chapter draws on the work of Kyle (1985), who posits a group of risk-neutral market-makers facing insiders and liquidity traders. In fact, Kyle models the strategic interaction between an insider who chooses to trade in order to maximize his profits and a group of market-makers who take the insider’s strategy into account in updating their beliefs on the future value of the asset and setting the equilibrium price. In this way, Kyle shows how information is incorporated into prices and how the latter reflect both the trading protocol where market-makers set prices and the strategic behaviour of the informed trader.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Preliminary credit search</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/preliminary-credit-search/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/preliminary-credit-search/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jan 2010 22:10:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[property]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[income]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inheritace]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[insurance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[last will]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market cycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Partnership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tenancy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=201</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you have done your store and Internet market searches carefully and you have not found your invention, that is an excellent start! Chances are pretty good that your product is not currently being sold. However, you still have a couple of hurdles to get over before you can breathe easily that your idea really [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">If you have done your store and Internet market searches carefully and you have not found your invention, that is an excellent start! Chances are pretty good that your product is not currently being sold. However, you still have a couple of hurdles to get over before you can breathe easily that your idea really belongs to you. According to the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), over 97% of the patents that are issued to independent inventors never make it to the marketplace! We will talk about this grim statistic in a later chapter and how you can avoid being a part of it. But, what this statistic means is that the patent database is full of patents that have never been seen on store shelves. You will need to make sure that your idea is not one of those that have been patented already.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The United States patent database is huge and complicated, and it would be foolhardy for novice inventors to believe that they could do thorough enough searches to base utility patent applications on them. But, with a little bit of instruction in how to get around on the USPTO website, anyone can do a pretty good preliminary search. What we mean by a preliminary search is this: if you go into the USPTO database and, with a limited amount of searching, you find your invention idea staring back at you; it is time to reassess your idea. Is the prior art (patent) that you just found your exact idea? If it is not, is your idea an improvement over that product? If you believe it to be your exact idea, it is probably best to set it aside and move on to your next idea before you spend any more time or any money on it. But, if you think your idea is significantly different or better, print that patent and take it to a patent agent or attorney for a legal opinion.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">If you find a patent that appears to be your exact idea, be sure to read the claims section carefully to make sure that it truly is identical before you abandon your dream. Sometimes two products can be made for the exact same purpose and they can look very similar or even identical in patent drawings and still be very different in the embodiments of how they are actually made.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Keywords of a good loan</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/keywords-of-a-good-loan/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/keywords-of-a-good-loan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Jan 2010 19:06:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Partnership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Private Annuities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[payment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pricing policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money problems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock exchange]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=196</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Once you have searched the stores in your area as thoroughly as you possibly can and have convinced yourself that your idea is not currently being offered in the local stores, it is time to get online and begin an Internet market search. There are a couple of steps to be completed in this search [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Once you have searched the stores in your area as thoroughly as you possibly can and have convinced yourself that your idea is not currently being offered in the local stores, it is time to get online and begin an Internet market search. There are a couple of steps to be completed in this search in order to be thorough here and it will be a bit time-consuming, but it is not difficult. You will do a key word search and a catalog search. You will start your Internet search by making a list of key words that might be used to describe your invention. You will be searching through the links to see what products similar to your invention are being offered for sale on the Internet. Even if you feel strongly that no similar products exist, you will be surprised by what a key word search will turn up. Use the most descriptive words you can think of and get as specific as possible in the description. By this, we mean get right down to the most common descriptive words for your invention. For example, if your product is a kitchen gadget, it is far too broad to simply type in, “Kitchen Gadget.” This would bring up many more links than you would want, or need, to search. If the invention is designed for peeling grapes, say so. Type in, “Grape Peeler.” Then, as you begin to click on and follow the links that this brings up, you will find more words on those pages that will help you to reach even more links and get even more specific. For example, you may find words that are specific to that type of product – i.e. rind removal – that would lead you to entirely new links to explore.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Payday loans that improve merchandise</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/payday-loans-that-improve-merchandise/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/payday-loans-that-improve-merchandise/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jan 2010 17:28:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[real estates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shareholders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[making money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[payday loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[personal finances]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=194</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While you are making the rounds of the stores looking at the similar products, this is an opportunity for you to do some other research that will get you ahead of the game when you are ready to market your invention. Take a small pad and a pen with you and write down the name [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">While you are making the rounds of the stores looking at the similar products, this is an opportunity for you to do some other research that will get you ahead of the game when you are ready to market your invention. Take a small pad and a pen with you and write down the name and location of the manufacturers of similar merchandise. You will find this information on all products that are offered for sale. It will be on a sticker or a hangtag or stamped somewhere on the item. These are the companies that will be your marketing targets later if you plan to license your product for royalties.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Or, they will be your competition if you plan to build a business around your invention. Either way, it will be to your advantage to know as much as you can about these companies that manufacture products similar to your invention. If your invention is something that is not specifically a retail item, such as a medical invention that would be sold through specialty outlets, you will need to track down those specific outlets and catalogs (perhaps with the help of a medical professional) in order to search in that area. However, if you have developed such an invention, chances are excellent that you are already familiar with those specialized outlets.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">If your invention is in a field that is a specialized area in which the products are not found in the usual retail outlets, you may need assistance from professionals in that industry during your research or development phase. Be sure to have each person who assists you to sign a non-disclosure document for your files.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Targeting the credit market</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/targeting-the-credit-market/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/targeting-the-credit-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jan 2010 15:09:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[market cycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[merger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money problems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit score]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[get out of debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[income]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shareholders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=191</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Your early market search and preliminary patent search are both types of research for which the only cost is some of your time and they are important educational phases in the development of your invention. Your first step will be to check out every store in your local area where such an item as you [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Your early market search and preliminary patent search are both types of research for which the only cost is some of your time and they are important educational phases in the development of your invention. Your first step will be to check out every store in your local area where such an item as you envision might be offered for sale. If, for example, your idea is for a new type of kitchen gadget, you will certainly want to check the kitchen specialty stores. But, you will also want to check any and every store that sells kitchen gadgets. This means that you might find yourself looking in stores such as Wal-Mart, Target, your local grocery store, the hardware store, the corner convenience store, the department stores at the mall and even the stores that specialize in unusual items, such as Brookstone or Sharper Image. You will need to be creative in thinking of all of the places where an item such as the one you envision might be offered for sale.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Get a credit expertise free of charge</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/get-a-credit-expertise-free-of-charge/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/get-a-credit-expertise-free-of-charge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 13:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market cycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business objectives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash reserves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt consolidation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment opportunities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[loans guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money guide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pricing policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=189</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In many communities across the country there are local branches of the Service Corps of Retired Executives (SCORE). This organization is a completely free mentoring program that is made up of retired executives who succeeded in their careers and who are now willing to share their knowledge and expertise, absolutely free of charge, with those [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">In many communities across the country there are local branches of the Service Corps of Retired Executives (SCORE). This organization is a completely free mentoring program that is made up of retired executives who succeeded in their careers and who are now willing to share their knowledge and expertise, absolutely free of charge, with those who are attempting to follow in their footsteps. Each SCORE office is as different as the individuals who make it up. You may find the exact person who can answer your questions, give you direction and save you from making costly mistakes. Utilize their generosity. To locate your nearest SCORE facility, go into a search engine such as Google, and type SCORE. This will bring up a number of links to guide you to your local office.</p>
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		<title>Where to look for credit help in the first place</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/where-to-look-for-credit-help-in-the-first-place/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/where-to-look-for-credit-help-in-the-first-place/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jan 2010 11:46:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash reserves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit cards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bad debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[car loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[compare credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt settlement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[home equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[portfolio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[refinancing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=186</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Scattered across the country are more than 900 Small Business Development Centers. These offices are usually affiliated with community colleges. The sole purpose of the SBDC is to assist small business owners. They offer many free services and classes on a variety of subjects that will maximize the chances that your small business will succeed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Scattered across the country are more than 900 Small Business Development Centers. These offices are usually affiliated with community colleges. The sole purpose of the SBDC is to assist small business owners. They offer many free services and classes on a variety of subjects that will maximize the chances that your small business will succeed in the marketplace. Free counseling with business consultants who will help you to set goals and even to develop your personalized business plan is available for the asking. Some Small Business Development Centers even offer business incubation for a nominal cost. Business incubation will allow you to share an office, office equipment and even secretarial assistance with other start-up companies in office space provided by the SBDC. If you are building a business around your invention, taking advantage of the business incubation services offered by the SBDC will allow you to save substantial amounts of initial cash outlay when your income is likely to be at its lowest.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Small Business Development Centers can also provide information and guidance on how to apply for and obtain Small Business Administration loans through your local bank or credit union.</p>
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		<title>Credit opportunities that are available online</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/credit-opportunities-that-are-available-online/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/credit-opportunities-that-are-available-online/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2010 13:25:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[global economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market cycles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[money problems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online real estate auctions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[payment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Private Annuities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[property]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[purchase real estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tenancy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tenancy-in-Common]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tenant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade value]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=198</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here, you will find a cornucopia of places where products in the category you are searching are being sold. The same stores that you have just visited will likely have links on the Internet. So, why bother to go out to the stores in the first place? Because you want to actually see the similar [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-199" title="8" src="http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/82.jpg" alt="8" width="300" height="300" hspace="5" vspace="5" />Here, you will find a cornucopia of places where products in the category you are searching are being sold. The same stores that you have just visited will likely have links on the Internet. So, why bother to go out to the stores in the first place? Because you want to actually see the similar products that are on store shelves. And, you want to gather the information that you can get from the product labels. If you should find a product that is offered for the same purpose as your idea, you can inspect it closely to see if your idea is an improvement on that product. Also, retailers do not usually have every product that is in their stores on their websites, so it is important to make sure that you do not overlook something by failing to make that trip to the store.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Individuals often make and sell products on the Internet that are offered nowhere else. If you neglect to do a good Internet search, you will miss this prior art. What is prior art?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">If an active patent covers a product, you cannot legally make and sell it.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">If that patent has expired, that product is said to be in the public domain and is now available to anyone to make and sell.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">A product that has never been patented but has been offered for sale to the public is also said to be in the public domain and can never be patented.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">All of the above examples are prior art; products that have already been presented to the public and cannot now be patent protected. One of the first things the examiners at the patent office will do when they begin with your application is to initiate a thorough search for prior art. If you failed to find these products but they were found in subsequent searches related to your patenting efforts, your patent would be rejected and you would have spent your money and your time in vain. It pays to be meticulous in your Internet  searching.</p>
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		<title>Cyclical behavior of credit spreads</title>
		<link>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/cyclical-behavior-of-credit-spreads/</link>
		<comments>http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/cyclical-behavior-of-credit-spreads/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Oct 2009 11:23:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/?p=182</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Intuitively, the described long-term pattern contrasts with the much more cyclical behavior of credit spreads. Yet it should be noted that a large part of this deviation has to be attributed to changes in the databases of the rating agencies and the average quality of recent new issuance. When the database contains more investment grade [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-184" title="home loan" src="http://www.real-estate-auctions.biz/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/62.jpg" alt="home loan" hspace="5" vspace="5" width="250" height="251" />Intuitively, the described long-term pattern contrasts with the much more cyclical behavior of credit spreads. Yet it should be noted that a large part of this deviation has to be attributed to changes in the databases of the rating agencies and the average quality of recent new issuance. When the database contains more investment grade companies, default rates naturally tend to be lower, and vice versa. Furthermore, historical data on default rates does not only reflect the broad credit cycle, but also changes in companies’ preferences towards bank debt and corporate issuance. When banks’ lending standards are particularly restrictive, especially companies with a lower credit quality may prefer to finance their business by issuing corporate bonds. For the high-yield market there is empirical evidence that the average maturity of outstanding debt is correlated with the probability of default. In other words, default probability changes over the life of a bond. While at the date of issuance the company has sufficient capital, there is often considerable uncertainty about the viability of the business model and future economic success. Together with the 1990/91 recession the enormous volume of junk bonds issuance that took place in the late 1980s is responsible for the peak in default rates in 1991. Consequently, default rate data provided by the rating agencies is not a very pure indicator of credit conditions through time.</p>
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